1X Germany or draw
89.0 %
Germany
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 14, 2026 · 19:00
Curaçao
Model favorite Germany win 74.2 %
FavoriteGermany
Confidence score77.8 %
StabilityCorrect
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Germany win | 74.19 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14.77 % |
| Curaçao win | 11.05 % |
Dominant scenario: 59.4-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
72.8 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 72.8 %
Under 2.5 27.2 %
59.5 % BTTS
Yes 59.5 %
No 40.5 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Curaçao
25.8 %
12 Either team wins
85.2 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Germany 87.0 % · Curaçao 13.0 %
Elo context
Germany1950
Curaçao1541
Elo gap of 408 points in favour of Germany (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Germany vs Curaçao analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.