1X Germany or draw
89.4 %
Germany
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 14, 2026 · 19:00
Curaçao
Model favorite Germany win 74.2 %
FavoriteGermany
Confidence score77.5 %
StabilityCorrect
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Germany win | 74.21 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15.20 % |
| Curaçao win | 10.59 % |
Dominant scenario: 59.0-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
69.0 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 69.0 %
Under 2.5 31.0 %
55.7 % BTTS
Yes 55.7 %
No 44.3 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Curaçao
25.8 %
12 Either team wins
84.8 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Germany 40.1 % · Curaçao 7.1 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Germany 87.5 % · Curaçao 12.5 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Germany 37.2 % · Curaçao 4.2 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Germany 53.0 % · Curaçao 3.3 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 2-0 9.97 %
- 2-1 9.11 %
- 3-0 8.80 %
- 3-1 8.04 %
- 1-0 7.53 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 2-0 (9.97%); next scenarios: 2-1 (9.11%), 3-0 (8.80%).
Elo context
Germany1934
Curaçao1548
Elo gap of 385 points in favour of Germany (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Germany vs Curaçao analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.