1X England or draw
91.8 %
England
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 23, 2026 · 22:00
Ghana
Model favorite England win 74.2 %
FavoriteEngland
Confidence score77.8 %
StabilityCorrect
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| England win | 74.25 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.54 % |
| Ghana win | 8.21 % |
Dominant scenario: 56.7-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
50.1 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 50.1 %
Under 2.5 49.9 %
62.8 % No BTTS
No 62.8 %
Yes 37.2 %
Reading: at least one team expected to stay shut out.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Ghana
25.8 %
12 Either team wins
82.5 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
England 57.8 % · Ghana 11.9 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
England 90.0 % · Ghana 10.0 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
England 50.9 % · Ghana 5.0 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
England 49.2 % · Ghana 1.8 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 2-0 15.58 %
- 1-0 14.62 %
- 3-0 11.07 %
- 2-1 8.55 %
- 1-1 8.02 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 2-0 (15.58%); next scenarios: 1-0 (14.62%), 3-0 (11.07%).
Elo context
England1998
Ghana1657
Elo gap of 341 points in favour of England (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the England vs Ghana analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.