1X England or draw
92.7 %
England
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
July 1, 2026 · 18:00
DR Congo
Model favorite England win 71.4 %
FavoriteEngland
Confidence score77.9 %
StabilityCorrect
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| England win | 71.39 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.35 % |
| DR Congo win | 7.26 % |
Dominant scenario: 50.0-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
64.9 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 64.9 %
Over 2.5 35.1 %
74.6 % No BTTS
No 74.6 %
Yes 25.4 %
Reading: low-scoring lean (Under 2.5 majority), at least one team expected to stay shut out.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or DR Congo
28.6 %
12 Either team wins
78.7 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
England 69.1 % · DR Congo 17.6 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
England 90.8 % · DR Congo 9.2 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
England 56.9 % · DR Congo 5.4 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
England 42.7 % · DR Congo 1.1 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-0 21.16 %
- 2-0 18.36 %
- 0-0 12.20 %
- 3-0 10.62 %
- 1-1 7.81 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-0 (21.16%); next scenarios: 2-0 (18.36%), 0-0 (12.20%).
Elo context
England1992
DR Congo1709
Elo gap of 283 points in favour of England (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the England vs DR Congo analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.