1X Czechia or draw
41.0 %
C
Czechia
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 25, 2026 · 03:00
Mexico
Model favorite Mexico win 59.0 %
FavoriteMexico
Confidence score59.7 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Czechia win | 16.00 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.05 % |
| Mexico win | 58.95 % |
Dominant scenario: 33.9-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
60.6 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 60.6 %
Over 2.5 39.4 %
60.7 % No BTTS
No 60.7 %
Yes 39.3 %
Reading: low-scoring lean (Under 2.5 majority), at least one team expected to stay shut out.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Mexico
84.0 %
12 Either team wins
75.0 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Czechia 20.6 % · Mexico 50.5 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Czechia 21.4 % · Mexico 78.7 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Czechia 10.2 % · Mexico 40.1 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Czechia 4.3 % · Mexico 31.9 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 0-1 16.42 %
- 0-2 12.97 %
- 1-1 11.23 %
- 0-0 10.39 %
- 1-2 8.87 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 0-1 (16.42%); next scenarios: 0-2 (12.97%), 1-1 (11.23%).
Elo context
Czechia1724
Mexico1900
Elo gap of 175 points in favour of Mexico (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Czechia vs Mexico analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.