1X Czech Republic or draw
74.1 %
Czech Republic
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 18, 2026 · 18:00
South Africa
Model favorite Czech Republic win 47.8 %
FavoriteCzech Republic
Confidence score48.7 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Czech Republic win | 47.84 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.26 % |
| South Africa win | 25.90 % |
Clear 21.6-point lead for the most likely scenario.
Goal trends
55.0 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 55.0 %
Over 2.5 45.0 %
51.1 % No BTTS
No 51.1 %
Yes 48.9 %
No clear goal trend: balanced markets.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or South Africa
52.2 %
12 Either team wins
73.7 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Czech Republic 36.5 % · South Africa 23.0 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Czech Republic 64.9 % · South Africa 35.1 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Czech Republic 28.1 % · South Africa 14.6 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Czech Republic 23.8 % · South Africa 9.4 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 12.43 %
- 1-0 12.34 %
- 2-1 9.14 %
- 2-0 9.07 %
- 0-1 8.46 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (12.43%); next scenarios: 1-0 (12.34%), 2-1 (9.14%).
Elo context
Czech Republic1724
South Africa1635
Elo gap of 88 points in favour of Czech Republic (moderate).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Czech Republic vs South Africa analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.