1X Czech Republic or draw
45.3 %
Czech Republic
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 25, 2026 · 03:00
Mexico
Model favorite Mexico win 54.7 %
FavoriteMexico
Confidence score54.9 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Czech Republic win | 20.45 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.84 % |
| Mexico win | 54.70 % |
Dominant scenario: 29.9-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
54.4 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 54.4 %
Over 2.5 45.6 %
53.1 % No BTTS
No 53.1 %
Yes 46.9 %
No clear goal trend: balanced markets.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Mexico
79.5 %
12 Either team wins
75.2 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Czech Republic 19.9 % · Mexico 41.4 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Czech Republic 27.2 % · Mexico 72.8 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Czech Republic 11.6 % · Mexico 33.2 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Czech Republic 6.7 % · Mexico 29.4 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 0-1 13.30 %
- 1-1 11.72 %
- 0-2 10.75 %
- 1-2 9.47 %
- 0-0 8.23 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 0-1 (13.30%); next scenarios: 1-1 (11.72%), 0-2 (10.75%).
Elo context
Czech Republic1751
Mexico1893
Elo gap of 142 points in favour of Mexico (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Czech Republic vs Mexico analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.