1X Curaçao or draw
36.0 %
Curaçao
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 25, 2026 · 22:00
Ivory Coast
Model favorite Ivory Coast win 64.0 %
FavoriteIvory Coast
Confidence score65.8 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Curaçao win | 13.73 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.30 % |
| Ivory Coast win | 63.97 % |
Dominant scenario: 41.7-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
54.8 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 54.8 %
Over 2.5 45.2 %
58.5 % No BTTS
No 58.5 %
Yes 41.5 %
No clear goal trend: balanced markets.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Ivory Coast
86.3 %
12 Either team wins
77.7 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Curaçao 16.6 % · Ivory Coast 50.3 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Curaçao 17.7 % · Ivory Coast 82.3 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Curaçao 8.2 % · Ivory Coast 42.0 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Curaçao 3.6 % · Ivory Coast 37.6 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 0-1 14.99 %
- 0-2 13.46 %
- 1-1 10.30 %
- 1-2 9.25 %
- 0-0 8.35 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 0-1 (14.99%); next scenarios: 0-2 (13.46%), 1-1 (10.30%).
Elo context
Curaçao1543
Ivory Coast1765
Elo gap of 222 points in favour of Ivory Coast (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Curaçao vs Ivory Coast analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.