1X Croatia or draw
88.5 %
Croatia
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 27, 2026 · 23:00
Ghana
Model favorite Croatia win 69.5 %
FavoriteCroatia
Confidence score72.6 %
StabilityCorrect
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Croatia win | 69.55 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.95 % |
| Ghana win | 11.50 % |
Dominant scenario: 50.6-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
53.6 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 53.6 %
Under 2.5 46.4 %
55.0 % No BTTS
No 55.0 %
Yes 45.0 %
No clear goal trend: balanced markets.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Ghana
30.4 %
12 Either team wins
81.0 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Croatia 48.8 % · Ghana 12.2 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Croatia 85.8 % · Ghana 14.2 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Croatia 42.9 % · Ghana 6.2 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Croatia 44.9 % · Ghana 3.1 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 2-0 13.18 %
- 1-0 12.52 %
- 2-1 9.45 %
- 3-0 9.25 %
- 1-1 8.98 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 2-0 (13.18%); next scenarios: 1-0 (12.52%), 2-1 (9.45%).
Elo context
Croatia1896
Ghana1608
Elo gap of 288 points in favour of Croatia (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Croatia vs Ghana analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.