1X DR Congo or draw
58.8 %
DR Congo
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 28, 2026 · 01:30
Uzbekistan
Model favorite Uzbekistan win 41.2 %
FavoriteUzbekistan
Confidence score40.3 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| DR Congo win | 28.31 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30.53 % |
| Uzbekistan win | 41.17 % |
Tight 10.6-point lead between the two most likely scenarios.
Goal trends
67.7 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 67.7 %
Over 2.5 32.3 %
60.6 % No BTTS
No 60.6 %
Yes 39.4 %
Reading: low-scoring lean (Under 2.5 majority), at least one team expected to stay shut out.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Uzbekistan
71.7 %
12 Either team wins
69.5 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
DR Congo 32.5 % · Uzbekistan 41.6 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
DR Congo 40.7 % · Uzbekistan 59.3 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
DR Congo 19.0 % · Uzbekistan 28.1 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
DR Congo 9.6 % · Uzbekistan 17.1 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 0-1 15.20 %
- 0-0 13.53 %
- 1-1 13.33 %
- 1-0 11.87 %
- 0-2 8.54 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 0-1 (15.20%); next scenarios: 0-0 (13.53%), 1-1 (13.33%).
Elo context
DR Congo1683
Uzbekistan1730
Elo gap of 46 points in favour of Uzbekistan (slight).
Match FAQ
How should I read the DR Congo vs Uzbekistan analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.