1X Congo DR or draw
54.1 %
Congo DR
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 28, 2026 · 01:30
Uzbekistan
Model favorite Uzbekistan win 45.9 %
FavoriteUzbekistan
Confidence score48.5 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Congo DR win | 24.20 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.92 % |
| Uzbekistan win | 45.88 % |
Clear 16.0-point lead for the most likely scenario.
Goal trends
67.7 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 67.7 %
Over 2.5 32.3 %
61.6 % No BTTS
No 61.6 %
Yes 38.4 %
Reading: low-scoring lean (Under 2.5 majority), at least one team expected to stay shut out.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Uzbekistan
75.8 %
12 Either team wins
70.1 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Congo DR 29.9 % · Uzbekistan 45.3 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Congo DR 34.5 % · Uzbekistan 65.5 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Congo DR 16.3 % · Uzbekistan 31.8 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Congo DR 7.5 % · Uzbekistan 20.3 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 0-1 16.36 %
- 0-0 13.53 %
- 1-1 12.94 %
- 1-0 10.71 %
- 0-2 9.89 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 0-1 (16.36%); next scenarios: 0-0 (13.53%), 1-1 (12.94%).
Elo context
Congo DR1689
Uzbekistan1768
Elo gap of 79 points in favour of Uzbekistan (moderate).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Congo DR vs Uzbekistan analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.