1X Cape Verde or draw
61.6 %
Cape Verde
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 27, 2026 · 02:00
Saudi Arabia
Model favorite Saudi Arabia win 38.4 %
FavoriteSaudi Arabia
Confidence score37.7 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Cape Verde win | 32.41 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.18 % |
| Saudi Arabia win | 38.41 % |
Tight 6.0-point lead between the two most likely scenarios.
Goal trends
62.7 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 62.7 %
Over 2.5 37.3 %
55.9 % No BTTS
No 55.9 %
Yes 44.1 %
Reading: low-scoring lean (Under 2.5 majority).
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Saudi Arabia
67.6 %
12 Either team wins
70.8 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Cape Verde 31.6 % · Saudi Arabia 35.6 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Cape Verde 45.8 % · Saudi Arabia 54.2 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Cape Verde 20.4 % · Saudi Arabia 24.3 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Cape Verde 12.4 % · Saudi Arabia 16.1 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 13.38 %
- 0-1 12.95 %
- 1-0 11.62 %
- 0-0 11.24 %
- 1-2 7.71 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (13.38%); next scenarios: 0-1 (12.95%), 1-0 (11.62%).
Elo context
Cape Verde1654
Saudi Arabia1676
Very small Elo gap: teams rated close to each other.
Match FAQ
How should I read the Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.