1X Brazil or draw
74.4 %
Brazil
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 14, 2026 · 00:00
Morocco
Model favorite Brazil win 47.8 %
FavoriteBrazil
Confidence score48.7 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Brazil win | 47.75 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.65 % |
| Morocco win | 25.60 % |
Clear 21.1-point lead for the most likely scenario.
Goal trends
56.6 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 56.6 %
Over 2.5 43.4 %
52.4 % No BTTS
No 52.4 %
Yes 47.6 %
Reading: low-scoring lean (Under 2.5 majority).
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Morocco
52.2 %
12 Either team wins
73.3 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Brazil 37.7 % · Morocco 23.7 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Brazil 65.1 % · Morocco 34.9 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Brazil 28.7 % · Morocco 14.8 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Brazil 23.5 % · Morocco 9.1 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-0 12.85 %
- 1-1 12.55 %
- 2-0 9.25 %
- 2-1 9.03 %
- 0-0 8.93 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-0 (12.85%); next scenarios: 1-1 (12.55%), 2-0 (9.25%).
Elo context
Brazil1999
Morocco1911
Elo gap of 88 points in favour of Brazil (moderate).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Brazil vs Morocco analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.