1X Brazil or draw
75.7 %
Brazil
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 14, 2026 · 00:00
Morocco
Model favorite Brazil win 46.1 %
FavoriteBrazil
Confidence score48.7 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Brazil win | 46.09 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.58 % |
| Morocco win | 24.33 % |
Clear 16.5-point lead for the most likely scenario.
Goal trends
66.7 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 66.7 %
Over 2.5 33.4 %
60.8 % No BTTS
No 60.8 %
Yes 39.2 %
Reading: low-scoring lean (Under 2.5 majority), at least one team expected to stay shut out.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Morocco
53.9 %
12 Either team wins
70.4 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Brazil 44.6 % · Morocco 29.2 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Brazil 65.5 % · Morocco 34.5 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Brazil 31.6 % · Morocco 16.2 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Brazil 20.7 % · Morocco 7.6 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-0 16.03 %
- 0-0 13.04 %
- 1-1 12.95 %
- 0-1 10.53 %
- 2-0 9.86 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-0 (16.03%); next scenarios: 0-0 (13.04%), 1-1 (12.95%).
Elo context
Brazil1990
Morocco1910
Elo gap of 80 points in favour of Brazil (moderate).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Brazil vs Morocco analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.