1X Brazil or draw
89.1 %
Brazil
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 20, 2026 · 02:30
Haiti
Model favorite Brazil win 72.7 %
FavoriteBrazil
Confidence score77.7 %
StabilityCorrect
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Brazil win | 72.73 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.33 % |
| Haiti win | 10.94 % |
Dominant scenario: 56.4-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
64.2 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 64.2 %
Under 2.5 35.8 %
52.3 % BTTS
Yes 52.3 %
No 47.7 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority).
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Haiti
27.3 %
12 Either team wins
83.7 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Brazil 42.8 % · Haiti 8.5 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Brazil 86.9 % · Haiti 13.1 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Brazil 39.2 % · Haiti 4.9 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Brazil 50.4 % · Haiti 3.3 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 2-0 11.08 %
- 2-1 9.40 %
- 3-0 9.09 %
- 1-0 9.01 %
- 3-1 7.71 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 2-0 (11.08%); next scenarios: 2-1 (9.40%), 3-0 (9.09%).
Elo context
Brazil1996
Haiti1646
Elo gap of 349 points in favour of Brazil (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Brazil vs Haiti analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.