1X Bosnia & Herzegovina or draw
65.0 %
Bosnia & Herzegovina
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 24, 2026 · 21:00
Qatar
Model favorite Bosnia & Herzegovina win 42.0 %
FavoriteBosnia & Herzegovina
Confidence score40.3 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Bosnia & Herzegovina win | 42.04 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.95 % |
| Qatar win | 35.00 % |
Tight 7.0-point lead between the two most likely scenarios.
Goal trends
64.0 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 64.0 %
Under 2.5 36.0 %
65.1 % BTTS
Yes 65.1 %
No 34.9 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Qatar
58.0 %
12 Either team wins
77.0 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Bosnia & Herzegovina 20.9 % · Qatar 17.7 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Bosnia & Herzegovina 54.6 % · Qatar 45.4 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Bosnia & Herzegovina 17.2 % · Qatar 14.0 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina 22.0 % · Qatar 16.9 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 10.03 %
- 2-1 8.68 %
- 1-2 7.85 %
- 2-2 6.80 %
- 1-0 6.40 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (10.03%); next scenarios: 2-1 (8.68%), 1-2 (7.85%).
Elo context
Bosnia & Herzegovina1613
Qatar1582
Elo gap of 31 points in favour of Bosnia & Herzegovina (slight).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.