1X Belgium or draw
79.8 %
Belgium
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 15, 2026 · 21:00
Egypt
Model favorite Belgium win 54.5 %
FavoriteBelgium
Confidence score54.8 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Belgium win | 54.50 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.24 % |
| Egypt win | 20.25 % |
Dominant scenario: 29.3-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
56.1 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 56.1 %
Over 2.5 43.9 %
54.4 % No BTTS
No 54.4 %
Yes 45.6 %
Reading: low-scoring lean (Under 2.5 majority).
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Egypt
45.5 %
12 Either team wins
74.8 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Belgium 42.6 % · Egypt 20.6 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Belgium 72.9 % · Egypt 27.1 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Belgium 33.8 % · Egypt 11.8 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Belgium 28.9 % · Egypt 6.5 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-0 13.87 %
- 1-1 11.83 %
- 2-0 10.96 %
- 2-1 9.35 %
- 0-0 8.78 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-0 (13.87%); next scenarios: 1-1 (11.83%), 2-0 (10.96%).
Elo context
Belgium1890
Egypt1749
Elo gap of 140 points in favour of Belgium (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Belgium vs Egypt analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.