1X Austria or draw
73.1 %
Austria
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 17, 2026 · 06:00
Jordan
Model favorite Austria win 51.3 %
FavoriteAustria
Confidence score54.9 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Austria win | 51.29 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.78 % |
| Jordan win | 26.93 % |
Clear 24.4-point lead for the most likely scenario.
Goal trends
65.5 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 65.5 %
Under 2.5 34.5 %
64.8 % BTTS
Yes 64.8 %
No 35.2 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Jordan
48.7 %
12 Either team wins
78.2 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Austria 24.9 % · Jordan 13.8 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Austria 65.6 % · Jordan 34.4 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Austria 21.5 % · Jordan 10.3 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Austria 29.7 % · Jordan 11.8 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 9.46 %
- 2-1 9.37 %
- 1-0 6.80 %
- 2-0 6.74 %
- 1-2 6.57 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (9.46%); next scenarios: 2-1 (9.37%), 1-0 (6.80%).
Elo context
Austria1829
Jordan1716
Elo gap of 113 points in favour of Austria (moderate).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Austria vs Jordan analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.