1X Australia or draw
60.3 %
Australia
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 14, 2026 · 06:00
Türkiye
Model favorite Türkiye win 39.7 %
FavoriteTürkiye
Confidence score37.7 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Australia win | 35.20 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.13 % |
| Türkiye win | 39.67 % |
Three scenarios very close: undecided match according to the model.
Goal trends
53.6 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 53.6 %
Under 2.5 46.4 %
57.1 % BTTS
Yes 57.1 %
No 42.9 %
Reading: both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Türkiye
64.8 %
12 Either team wins
74.9 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Australia 23.2 % · Türkiye 25.6 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Australia 47.0 % · Türkiye 53.0 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Australia 17.3 % · Türkiye 19.7 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Australia 15.9 % · Türkiye 19.0 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 11.83 %
- 0-1 8.68 %
- 1-2 8.64 %
- 1-0 8.09 %
- 2-1 8.05 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (11.83%); next scenarios: 0-1 (8.68%), 1-2 (8.64%).
Elo context
Australia1831
Türkiye1850
Very small Elo gap: teams rated close to each other.
Match FAQ
How should I read the Australia vs Türkiye analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.