1X Argentina or draw
81.1 %
Argentina
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
July 12, 2026 · 03:00
Switzerland
Model favorite Argentina win 59.7 %
FavoriteArgentina
Confidence score59.7 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Argentina win | 59.72 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.37 % |
| Switzerland win | 18.90 % |
Dominant scenario: 38.3-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
57.8 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 57.8 %
Under 2.5 42.2 %
55.2 % BTTS
Yes 55.2 %
No 44.8 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Switzerland
40.3 %
12 Either team wins
78.6 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Argentina 36.0 % · Switzerland 13.8 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Argentina 76.0 % · Switzerland 24.0 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Argentina 31.1 % · Switzerland 8.8 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Argentina 36.0 % · Switzerland 6.7 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 10.04 %
- 2-1 9.96 %
- 1-0 9.83 %
- 2-0 9.75 %
- 3-1 6.59 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (10.04%); next scenarios: 2-1 (9.96%), 1-0 (9.83%).
Elo context
Argentina2134
Switzerland1944
Elo gap of 190 points in favour of Argentina (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Argentina vs Switzerland analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.