1X Argentina or draw
87.9 %
Argentina
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 22, 2026 · 19:00
Austria
Model favorite Argentina win 67.3 %
FavoriteArgentina
Confidence score72.6 %
StabilityCorrect
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Argentina win | 67.34 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.58 % |
| Austria win | 12.07 % |
Dominant scenario: 46.8-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
51.7 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 51.7 %
Over 2.5 48.3 %
58.2 % No BTTS
No 58.2 %
Yes 41.8 %
No clear goal trend: balanced markets.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Austria
32.7 %
12 Either team wins
79.4 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Argentina 51.1 % · Austria 14.4 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Argentina 84.8 % · Austria 15.2 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Argentina 43.7 % · Austria 7.1 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Argentina 41.5 % · Austria 3.1 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-0 14.29 %
- 2-0 13.82 %
- 1-1 9.59 %
- 2-1 9.28 %
- 3-0 8.91 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-0 (14.29%); next scenarios: 2-0 (13.82%), 1-1 (9.59%).
Elo context
Argentina2087
Austria1829
Elo gap of 258 points in favour of Argentina (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Argentina vs Austria analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.