1X Algeria or draw
62.2 %
Algeria
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 28, 2026 · 04:00
Austria
Model favorite Austria win 37.8 %
FavoriteAustria
Confidence score37.7 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Algeria win | 35.72 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.47 % |
| Austria win | 37.82 % |
Three scenarios very close: undecided match according to the model.
Goal trends
52.2 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 52.2 %
Over 2.5 47.8 %
52.6 % BTTS
Yes 52.6 %
No 47.4 %
No clear goal trend: balanced markets.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Austria
64.3 %
12 Either team wins
73.5 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Algeria 26.8 % · Austria 28.1 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Algeria 48.6 % · Austria 51.4 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Algeria 19.3 % · Austria 20.5 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Algeria 15.6 % · Austria 17.0 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 12.59 %
- 0-1 9.91 %
- 1-0 9.57 %
- 1-2 8.28 %
- 2-1 8.00 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (12.59%); next scenarios: 0-1 (9.91%), 1-0 (9.57%).
Elo context
Algeria1841
Austria1849
Very small Elo gap: teams rated close to each other.
Match FAQ
How should I read the Algeria vs Austria analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.