Foresportia Elo
1460Liga Portugal 2 rank : 9th
UD Leiria
Foresportia analyses UD Leiria using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.55Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
61.6%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates UD Leiria
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
UD LeiriaElo : 1504
Portimonense SADElo : 1452
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
UD Leiria 50%Draw 26%Portimonense SAD 23%
3. Prediction reliability for UD Leiria
Data updated on 06 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 50.0% | 12 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 53.3% | 15 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 57.9% | 19 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 56.5% | 23 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 59.3% | 27 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 62.5% | 32 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 61.8% | 34 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 57.9% | 38 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 59.0% | 39 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 56.1% | 41 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 52.3% | 44 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 48.9% | 47 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 49.0% | 51 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 48.1% | 54 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 51.7% | 58 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 62 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 49.2% | 65 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 50.0% | 68 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for UD Leiria
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.43 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.57 pts/matchComparable return
5. Statistical markers for UD Leiria
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 72 verified matches
6. Market signals for UD Leiria
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1271.7%78.9%19Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X66.9%63.2%19Recurring signal
Both teams to score54.2%63.6%11Success above the average probability
Double chance X263.8%62.5%16Recurring signal
Away draw no bet55.7%62.5%8Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
UD Leiria
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
UD Leiria
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
UD Leiria
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
UD Leiria
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, UD Leiria still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
UD Leiria still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is UD Leiria vs Portimonense SAD on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 50%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. UD Leiria FAQ
What is the next match for UD Leiria on Foresportia?
This page shows UD Leiria's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read UD Leiria's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for UD Leiria's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for UD Leiria?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for UD Leiria, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
UD Leiria: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, UD Leiria still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
UD Leiria still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is UD Leiria vs Portimonense SAD on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 50%.