Foresportia Elo
1515Liga Portugal 2 rank : 9th
UD Leiria
Foresportia analyses UD Leiria using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.55Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.47Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.20Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
59.0%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: UD Leiria
UD Leiria have taken 6 points from five matches in Liga Portugal 2. The team have scored 6 goals and conceded 7. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.
Liga Portugal 2 · 2026-2027 · 5 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates UD Leiria
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
FC Porto BElo : 1434
UD LeiriaElo : 1484
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
FC Porto B 28%Draw 27%UD Leiria 45%
3. Prediction reliability for UD Leiria
Data updated on 21 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 50.0% | 12 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 53.3% | 15 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 57.9% | 19 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 56.5% | 23 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 59.3% | 27 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 62.5% | 32 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 61.8% | 34 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 57.9% | 38 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 59.0% | 39 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 56.1% | 41 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 52.3% | 44 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 48.9% | 47 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 49.0% | 51 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 48.1% | 54 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 51.7% | 58 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 62 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 49.2% | 65 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 50.0% | 68 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 50.7% | 69 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 70 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for UD Leiria
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.43 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.57 pts/matchComparable return
5. Statistical markers for UD Leiria
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 74 verified matches
6. Market signals for UD Leiria
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1271.9%77.3%22Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X263.6%66.7%18Confirmed signal
Double chance 1X67.2%63.6%22Recurring signal
Both teams to score54.2%57.1%14Recurring signal
Away draw no bet56.2%55.6%9Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
UD Leiria
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
UD Leiria
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
UD Leiria
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
UD Leiria
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, UD Leiria still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
UD Leiria still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is FC Porto B vs UD Leiria on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 45%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. UD Leiria FAQ
What is the next match for UD Leiria on Foresportia?
This page shows UD Leiria's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read UD Leiria's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for UD Leiria's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for UD Leiria?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for UD Leiria, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
UD Leiria: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, UD Leiria still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
UD Leiria still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is FC Porto B vs UD Leiria on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 45%.