Foresportia Elo
1577Championship rank : 1st
Swansea City
Foresportia analyses Swansea City using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.56Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.47Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
48.5%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Swansea City
Swansea City have taken 9 points from a possible 15 across the last five recorded matches in Championship. The team have scored 7 goals and conceded 6. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Championship · 2026-2027 · 10 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Swansea City
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Queens Park RangersElo : 1466
Swansea CityElo : 1560
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Queens Park Rangers 31%Draw 30%Swansea City 39%
3. Prediction reliability for Swansea City
Data updated on 21 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | 41.7% | 12 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 44.4% | 18 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 50.0% | 24 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 50.0% | 28 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 48.5% | 33 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 48.6% | 37 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 53.5% | 43 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 52.3% | 44 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 54.2% | 48 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 53.8% | 52 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 53.6% | 56 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 54.2% | 59 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 54.8% | 62 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 56.7% | 67 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 55.7% | 70 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 58.1% | 74 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 55.0% | 80 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 55.6% | 81 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 54.8% | 84 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 55.7% | 88 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 56.0% | 91 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for Swansea City
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.65 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.18 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Swansea City
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 102 verified matches
6. Market signals for Swansea City
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1270.7%78.6%28Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X262.6%64.0%25Recurring signal
Double chance 1X69.2%63.0%27Recurring signal
Away draw no bet57.5%66.7%9Promising signal, limited sample
Both teams to score54.0%60.0%15Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Swansea City
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Swansea City
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Swansea City
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Swansea City
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Swansea City mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Swansea City still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 39%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 81.8% success across 11 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Swansea City FAQ
What is the next match for Swansea City on Foresportia?
This page shows Swansea City's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Swansea City's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Swansea City's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Swansea City?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Swansea City, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Swansea City: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Swansea City mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Swansea City still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 39%.