Foresportia Elo
1605Bundesliga (AUT) rank : 4th
Sturm Graz
Foresportia analyses Sturm Graz using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.48Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.47Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
47.4%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz are scoring freely, but their defense is vulnerable: 11 goals scored and 8 conceded across the last five recorded matches in Bundesliga (AUT). The team have taken 9 points from a possible 15 over these matches. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Bundesliga (AUT) · 2026-2027 · 8 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 6 | 1 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Sturm Graz
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Sturm GrazElo : Not available
MarseilleElo : Not available
3. Prediction reliability for Sturm Graz
Data updated on 19 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 30.0% | 10 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 41.7% | 12 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 46.2% | 13 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for Sturm Graz
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.14 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.50 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Sturm Graz
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 15 verified matches
6. Market signals for Sturm Graz
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X72.9%87.5%16Major, well-documented signal
Both teams to score54.5%71.4%14Success above the average probability
Double chance X267.5%66.7%12Confirmed signal
Double chance 1271.8%55.6%18Success below the average probability
Under 2.551.4%75.0%4Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Sturm Graz
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Sturm Graz
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Sturm Graz
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Sturm Graz
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Sturm Graz mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Sturm Graz shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.20 goals per match recently.
The next confirmed match is Sturm Graz vs Marseille on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Sturm Graz FAQ
What is the next match for Sturm Graz on Foresportia?
This page shows Sturm Graz's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.
How should you read Sturm Graz's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Sturm Graz's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Sturm Graz?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Sturm Graz, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Sturm Graz: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Sturm Graz mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Sturm Graz shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.20 goals per match recently.
The next confirmed match is Sturm Graz vs Marseille on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.