Foresportia Elo
1434Championship rank : 6th
Stoke City
Foresportia analyses Stoke City using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.56Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.40Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
45.9%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Stoke City
Stoke City are enjoying a positive run, taking 12 points from the last five recorded matches in Championship. Their attack is productive, with 11 goals scored against 5 conceded. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Championship · 2026-2027 · 8 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Stoke City
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Stoke CityElo : 1451
Bristol CityElo : 1425
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Stoke City 39%Draw 30%Bristol City 31%
3. Prediction reliability for Stoke City
Data updated on 21 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 12 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 47.1% | 17 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 40.9% | 22 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 37.0% | 27 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 43.8% | 32 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 43.2% | 37 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 45.2% | 42 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 44.2% | 43 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 46.7% | 45 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 46.9% | 49 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 47.2% | 53 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 50.0% | 58 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 50.0% | 60 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 50.0% | 66 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 48.6% | 70 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 47.3% | 74 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 48.1% | 79 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 48.8% | 80 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 49.4% | 81 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 47.1% | 85 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 48.3% | 87 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 10 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 10 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 11 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 11 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 12 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 12 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 13 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 13 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 13 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
4. Predictive profile for Stoke City
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.47 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.94 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Stoke City
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 100 verified matches
6. Market signals for Stoke City
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1270.1%82.1%28Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X68.8%70.4%27Robust signal
Home draw no bet63.7%64.3%14Recurring signal
Both teams to score52.1%64.3%14Success above the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Stoke City
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Stoke City
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Stoke City
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Stoke City
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Stoke City mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Stoke City is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of -0.21.
The next detected match is Stoke City vs Bristol City on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 39%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 100.0% success across 13 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Stoke City FAQ
What is the next match for Stoke City on Foresportia?
This page shows Stoke City's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Stoke City's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Stoke City's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Stoke City?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Stoke City, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Stoke City: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Stoke City mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Stoke City is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of -0.21.
The next detected match is Stoke City vs Bristol City on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 39%.