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Napoli

ItalySerie A2026-2027

Foresportia analyses Napoli using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1654Serie A rank : 10th
1X2 entropy
1.48Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.10Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
1.00Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
53.2%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Napoli

The goal tally for Napoli is level across the last five recorded matches in Serie A: 8 scored and the same number conceded. The team have taken 5 points from a possible 15 over these matches. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Serie A · 2026-2027 · 10 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
010
331
413
020
111

1. How Foresportia evaluates Napoli

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1654Foresportia EloSerie A rank : 10th
1.481X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.10Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
1.00Recent formpoints / match
53.2%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Serie A

SSC NapoliElo : 1624
VS
Torino FCElo : 1489
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
57%26%17%
SSC Napoli 57%Draw 26%Torino FC 17%
Main signalHome win · 57%
Model confidence58.6%
StabilityCorrect and above
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for Napoli

Data updated on 14 November 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
81.2%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample1
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample3
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample6
2024-11RiskInsufficient sample9
2024-12Risk90.0%10
2025-01Risk91.7%12
2025-02Risk73.3%15
2025-03Risk72.2%18
2025-04Risk70.0%20
2025-05Risk70.0%20
2025-08Risk70.0%20
2025-09Risk68.2%22
2025-10Risk62.5%24
2025-11Risk57.1%28
2025-12Risk58.6%29
2026-01Risk58.8%34
2026-02Risk59.5%37
2026-03Risk59.5%37
2026-04Risk57.5%40
2026-05Risk54.8%42
2026-08Risk54.5%44
2026-09Risk55.3%47
2026-10Risk54.2%48
2026-11Risk52.0%50
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-01Correct and above90.0%10
2025-02Correct and above81.8%11
2025-03Correct and above75.0%12
2025-04Correct and above78.6%14
2025-05Correct and above72.2%18
2025-08Correct and above75.0%20
2025-09Correct and above76.2%21
2025-10Correct and above78.3%23
2025-11Correct and above78.3%23
2025-12Correct and above76.0%25
2026-01Correct and above74.1%27
2026-02Correct and above75.0%28
2026-03Correct and above77.4%31
2026-04Correct and above78.1%32
2026-05Correct and above79.4%34
2026-08Correct and above79.4%34
2026-09Correct and above79.4%34
2026-10Correct and above77.8%36
2026-11Correct and above77.8%36
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-09Stable and above80.0%10
2025-10Stable and above81.8%11
2025-11Stable and above81.8%11
2025-12Stable and above81.8%11
2026-01Stable and above75.0%12
2026-02Stable and above75.0%12
2026-03Stable and above78.6%14
2026-04Stable and above80.0%15
2026-05Stable and above81.2%16
2026-08Stable and above81.2%16
2026-09Stable and above81.2%16
2026-10Stable and above81.2%16
2026-11Stable and above81.2%16
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample9

4. Predictive profile for Napoli

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.21 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.75 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for Napoli

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.27
Expected goals conceded at home0.74
Expected goals created away1.27
Expected goals conceded away0.64
Goals scored / match (5)1.60
Goals conceded / match (5)1.60

History: 86 verified matches

6. Market signals for Napoli

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Home win59.9%100.0%6Promising signal, limited sample
Double chance 1272.5%80.0%30Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X72.4%77.3%22Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X269.9%66.7%24Confirmed signal
Home draw no bet66.9%64.7%17Recurring signal

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Napoli
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Napoli
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Napoli mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Napoli still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is SSC Napoli vs Torino FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 57%.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Stable and above: 81.2% success across 16 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Serie ALeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. Napoli FAQ

What is the next match for Napoli on Foresportia?

This page shows Napoli's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read Napoli's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Napoli's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Napoli?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Napoli, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Napoli: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Napoli mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Napoli still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is SSC Napoli vs Torino FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 57%.