Foresportia Elo
1451Bundesliga 2 rank : 16th
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Foresportia analyses SpVgg Greuther Fürth using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.56Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
47.9%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
VfL BochumElo : 1483
SpVgg Greuther FürthElo : 1450
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
VfL Bochum 45%Draw 30%SpVgg Greuther Fürth 25%
3. Prediction reliability for SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Data updated on 06 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | 30.0% | 10 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 41.7% | 12 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 46.7% | 15 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 52.9% | 17 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 52.4% | 21 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 50.0% | 24 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 53.6% | 28 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 51.6% | 31 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 55.9% | 34 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 59.5% | 37 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 60.0% | 40 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 61.0% | 41 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 60.5% | 43 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 58.7% | 46 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 58.0% | 50 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 56.6% | 53 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 56.1% | 57 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 55.7% | 61 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 54.8% | 62 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
4. Predictive profile for SpVgg Greuther Fürth
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.31 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.86 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 70 verified matches
6. Market signals for SpVgg Greuther Fürth
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1272.4%80.0%20Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X66.9%72.2%18Robust signal
Over 2.555.1%63.6%11Success above the average probability
Both teams to score57.2%57.1%14Recurring signal
Under 2.558.2%55.6%9Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, SpVgg Greuther Fürth mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 45%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. SpVgg Greuther Fürth FAQ
What is the next match for SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Foresportia?
This page shows SpVgg Greuther Fürth's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read SpVgg Greuther Fürth's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for SpVgg Greuther Fürth's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for SpVgg Greuther Fürth, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, SpVgg Greuther Fürth mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 45%.