Logo Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

SpainLa Liga2026-2027

Foresportia analyses Real Sociedad using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1539La Liga rank : 5th
1X2 entropy
1.54Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
2.40Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
51.3%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad are scoring freely, but their defense is vulnerable: 14 goals scored and 11 conceded across the last five recorded matches in La Liga. Results have been positive over these matches, with 12 points taken from a possible 15. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

La Liga · 2026-2027 · 9 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
323
030
323
323
523

1. How Foresportia evaluates Real Sociedad

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1539Foresportia EloLa Liga rank : 5th
1.541X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.20Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
2.40Recent formpoints / match
51.3%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

UEFA Europa League

LillestromElo : Not available
VS
Real SociedadElo : Not available
Main signal—
Model confidenceNot available
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for Real Sociedad

Data updated on 20 October 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample3
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample7
2024-10Risk40.0%10
2024-11Risk41.7%12
2024-12Risk46.7%15
2025-01Risk38.9%18
2025-02Risk40.9%22
2025-03Risk41.7%24
2025-04Risk39.3%28
2025-05Risk40.6%32
2025-08Risk40.0%35
2025-09Risk43.2%37
2025-10Risk40.0%40
2025-11Risk41.9%43
2025-12Risk40.0%45
2026-01Risk40.4%47
2026-02Risk40.0%50
2026-03Risk43.4%53
2026-04Risk41.1%56
2026-05Risk37.7%61
2026-08Risk39.7%63
2026-09Risk41.8%67
2026-10Risk42.0%69
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-05Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-12Correct and above80.0%10
2026-01Correct and above66.7%12
2026-02Correct and above71.4%14
2026-03Correct and above71.4%14
2026-04Correct and above73.3%15
2026-05Correct and above73.3%15
2026-08Correct and above75.0%16
2026-09Correct and above75.0%16
2026-10Correct and above75.0%16
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample2

4. Predictive profile for Real Sociedad

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.50 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.05 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for Real Sociedad

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home0.91
Expected goals conceded at home1.07
Expected goals created away1.11
Expected goals conceded away0.93
Goals scored / match (5)2.80
Goals conceded / match (5)2.20

History: 85 verified matches

6. Market signals for Real Sociedad

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance X263.8%76.2%21Major, well-documented signal
Both teams to score54.1%76.5%17Major, well-documented signal
Home win55.9%85.7%7Promising signal, limited sample
Double chance 1X71.5%71.4%28Robust signal
Double chance 1269.6%67.9%28Confirmed signal

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Real Sociedad
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Real Sociedad
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Real Sociedad mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Real Sociedad is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of -0.13.

The next confirmed match is Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Correct and above: 75.0% success across 16 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

9. Real Sociedad FAQ

What is the next match for Real Sociedad on Foresportia?

This page shows Real Sociedad's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.

How should you read Real Sociedad's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Real Sociedad's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Real Sociedad?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Real Sociedad, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Real Sociedad: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Real Sociedad mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Real Sociedad is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of -0.13.

The next confirmed match is Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.