Foresportia Elo
1597Bundesliga rank : 4th
RB Leipzig
Leipzig
Foresportia analyses RB Leipzig using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.44Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.40Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
59.4%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig are scoring freely, but their defense is vulnerable: 18 goals scored and 8 conceded across the last five recorded matches in Bundesliga. Results have been positive over these matches, with 12 points taken from a possible 15. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Bundesliga · 2026-2027 · 9 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 6 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 2 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates RB Leipzig
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
1.FC Union BerlinElo : 1437
RB LeipzigElo : 1631
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
1.FC Union Berlin 24%Draw 29%RB Leipzig 47%
3. Prediction reliability for RB Leipzig
Data updated on 14 November 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
100.0%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 50.0% | 12 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 43.8% | 16 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 40.0% | 20 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 45.5% | 22 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 40.0% | 25 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 40.0% | 25 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 38.5% | 26 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 37.0% | 27 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 35.7% | 28 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 33.3% | 30 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 35.3% | 34 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 36.1% | 36 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 39.5% | 38 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 42.5% | 40 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 42.9% | 42 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 44.2% | 43 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 44.4% | 45 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 45.7% | 46 |
| 2026-11 | Risk | 45.7% | 46 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 77.8% | 18 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 78.9% | 19 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 20 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 76.2% | 21 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 78.3% | 23 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 25 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 80.8% | 26 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 80.8% | 26 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 81.5% | 27 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 30 |
| 2026-11 | Correct and above | 83.9% | 31 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 10 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 11 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 12 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 12 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 12 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 13 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 14 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 14 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 15 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 16 |
| 2026-11 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 16 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
4. Predictive profile for RB Leipzig
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.13 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.34 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for RB Leipzig
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 77 verified matches
6. Market signals for RB Leipzig
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1273.7%92.9%28Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X75.2%90.9%22Major, well-documented signal
Home draw no bet72.3%88.9%18Major, well-documented signal
Home win58.8%83.3%12Success above the average probability
Over 2.559.8%73.7%19Success above the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
RB Leipzig
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
RB Leipzig
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
RB Leipzig
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
RB Leipzig
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, RB Leipzig mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
RB Leipzig is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.89.
The next detected match is 1.FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 47%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 100.0% success across 16 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. RB Leipzig FAQ
What is the next match for RB Leipzig on Foresportia?
This page shows RB Leipzig's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read RB Leipzig's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for RB Leipzig's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for RB Leipzig?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for RB Leipzig, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
RB Leipzig: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, RB Leipzig mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
RB Leipzig is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.89.
The next detected match is 1.FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 47%.