Foresportia Elo
1479Liga Portugal 2 rank : 4th
Portimonense SAD
Foresportia analyses Portimonense SAD using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.53Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.26Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.00Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
62.0%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates Portimonense SAD
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
UD LeiriaElo : 1504
Portimonense SADElo : 1452
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
UD Leiria 50%Draw 26%Portimonense SAD 23%
3. Prediction reliability for Portimonense SAD
Data updated on 06 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 58.3% | 12 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 60.0% | 15 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 57.9% | 19 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 65.2% | 23 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 61.5% | 26 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 55.2% | 29 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 58.1% | 31 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 57.1% | 35 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 59.5% | 37 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 59.0% | 39 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 61.0% | 41 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 59.5% | 42 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 58.7% | 46 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 57.1% | 49 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 56.9% | 51 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 55.6% | 54 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 52.6% | 57 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 49.2% | 61 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
4. Predictive profile for Portimonense SAD
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.22 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.03 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Portimonense SAD
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 72 verified matches
6. Market signals for Portimonense SAD
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1271.7%78.9%19Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X66.8%72.2%18Robust signal
Under 2.559.2%71.4%14Success above the average probability
Double chance X265.8%56.2%16Success below the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Portimonense SAD
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Portimonense SAD
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Portimonense SAD
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Portimonense SAD
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Portimonense SAD mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Portimonense SAD is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of -0.11.
The next detected match is UD Leiria vs Portimonense SAD on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 50%.
AI verdictStrong predictive reliability
Correct and above: 72.7% success across 11 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Portimonense SAD FAQ
What is the next match for Portimonense SAD on Foresportia?
This page shows Portimonense SAD's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Portimonense SAD's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Portimonense SAD's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Portimonense SAD?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Portimonense SAD, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Portimonense SAD: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Portimonense SAD mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Portimonense SAD is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of -0.11.
The next detected match is UD Leiria vs Portimonense SAD on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 50%.