Foresportia Elo
1582Ekstraklasa rank : 4th
Pogon Szczecin
Foresportia analyses Pogon Szczecin using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.55Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.98Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.20Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
47.9%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin are enjoying a positive run, taking 11 points from the last five recorded matches in Ekstraklasa. Their defense has held firm: 2 goals conceded against 6 goals scored. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Ekstraklasa · 2026-2027 · 8 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Pogon Szczecin
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Pogon SzczecinElo : 1600
Radomiak RadomElo : 1407
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Pogon Szczecin 61%Draw 23%Radomiak Radom 17%
3. Prediction reliability for Pogon Szczecin
Data updated on 20 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
60.0%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 63.6% | 11 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 61.5% | 13 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 60.0% | 15 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for Pogon Szczecin
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.57 pts/matchLower observed return
Away performance2.12 pts/matchHigher observed return
5. Statistical markers for Pogon Szczecin
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 15 verified matches
6. Market signals for Pogon Szczecin
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance X263.4%71.4%14Success above the average probability
Double chance 1271.0%70.6%17Robust signal
Double chance 1X68.2%58.8%17Success below the average probability
Away draw no bet55.5%71.4%7Promising signal, limited sample
Under 2.552.7%60.0%5Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Pogon Szczecin
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Pogon Szczecin
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Pogon Szczecin
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Pogon Szczecin
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Pogon Szczecin mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Pogon Szczecin is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.20 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.51.
The next detected match is Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 61%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Pogon Szczecin FAQ
What is the next match for Pogon Szczecin on Foresportia?
This page shows Pogon Szczecin's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Pogon Szczecin's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Pogon Szczecin's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Pogon Szczecin?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Pogon Szczecin, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Pogon Szczecin: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Pogon Szczecin mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Pogon Szczecin is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.20 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.51.
The next detected match is Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 61%.