Logo PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

NetherlandsEredivisie2026-2027

Foresportia analyses PEC Zwolle using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1392Eredivisie rank : 15th
1X2 entropy
1.48Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
54.1%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle are going through a difficult run, taking 4 points from the last five recorded matches in Eredivisie. Their defense needs attention: 14 goals conceded against 6 scored. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Eredivisie · 2026-2027 · 9 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
221
070
030
010
413

1. How Foresportia evaluates PEC Zwolle

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1392Foresportia EloEredivisie rank : 15th
1.481X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.17Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
0.80Recent formpoints / match
54.1%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Eredivisie

FC UtrechtElo : 1564
VS
PEC ZwolleElo : 1422
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
50%27%23%
FC Utrecht 50%Draw 27%PEC Zwolle 23%
Main signalHome win · 50%
Model confidence54.0%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for PEC Zwolle

Data updated on 21 October 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2025-08RiskInsufficient sample3
2025-09RiskInsufficient sample6
2025-10RiskInsufficient sample8
2025-11Risk33.3%12
2025-12Risk35.7%14
2026-01Risk35.3%17
2026-02Risk36.8%19
2026-03Risk31.8%22
2026-04Risk30.4%23
2026-05Risk36.0%25
2026-08Risk39.3%28
2026-09Risk40.0%30
2026-10Risk37.5%32
2025-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2026-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2026-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2026-05Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2026-08Correct and above90.0%10
2026-09Correct and above90.9%11
2026-10Correct and above90.9%11
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1

4. Predictive profile for PEC Zwolle

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.41 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.62 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for PEC Zwolle

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home0.70
Expected goals conceded at home0.98
Expected goals created away0.91
Expected goals conceded away1.27
Goals scored / match (5)1.20
Goals conceded / match (5)2.80

History: 43 verified matches

6. Market signals for PEC Zwolle

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X72.2%78.9%19Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1273.7%73.9%23Robust signal
Double chance X265.6%64.7%17Recurring signal
Over 2.558.0%60.0%15Recurring signal
Both teams to score57.9%56.2%16Recurring signal

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
PEC Zwolle
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
PEC Zwolle
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, PEC Zwolle mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

PEC Zwolle still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 50%.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Correct and above: 90.9% success across 11 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

9. PEC Zwolle FAQ

What is the next match for PEC Zwolle on Foresportia?

This page shows PEC Zwolle's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read PEC Zwolle's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for PEC Zwolle's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for PEC Zwolle?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for PEC Zwolle, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

PEC Zwolle: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, PEC Zwolle mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

PEC Zwolle still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 50%.