Foresportia Elo
1589HNL rank : 4th
NK Varazdin
Foresportia analyses NK Varazdin using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.53Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.98Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.20Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
42.1%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: NK Varazdin
The goal tally for NK Varazdin is level across the last five recorded matches in HNL: 5 scored and the same number conceded. The team have taken 6 points from a possible 15 over these matches. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
HNL · 2026-2027 · 7 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates NK Varazdin
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebElo : Not available
NK VarazdinElo : Not available
3. Prediction reliability for NK Varazdin
Data updated on 22 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 50.0% | 10 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 38.5% | 13 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for NK Varazdin
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.25 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.43 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for NK Varazdin
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 15 verified matches
6. Market signals for NK Varazdin
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X70.0%83.3%18Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1269.6%77.8%18Major, well-documented signal
Home win61.7%100.0%4Promising signal, limited sample
Home draw no bet68.3%63.6%11Recurring signal
Under 2.556.2%61.5%13Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
NK Varazdin
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
NK Varazdin
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
NK Varazdin
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
NK Varazdin
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, NK Varazdin mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
NK Varazdin still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next confirmed match is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. NK Varazdin FAQ
What is the next match for NK Varazdin on Foresportia?
This page shows NK Varazdin's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.
How should you read NK Varazdin's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for NK Varazdin's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for NK Varazdin?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for NK Varazdin, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
NK Varazdin: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, NK Varazdin mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
NK Varazdin still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next confirmed match is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.