Logo Modena FC

Modena FC

ItalySerie B2026-2027

Foresportia analyses Modena FC using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1517Serie B rank : 4th
1X2 entropy
1.54Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
57.6%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Modena FC

Modena FC have taken 4 points from four matches in Serie B. The team have scored 4 goals and conceded 5. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.

Serie B · 2026-2027 · 4 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
010
111
213
120

1. How Foresportia evaluates Modena FC

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1517Foresportia EloSerie B rank : 4th
1.541X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.17Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
0.80Recent formpoints / match
57.6%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Serie B

Modena FCElo : 1500
VS
Cesena FCElo : 1417
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
44%32%24%
Modena FC 44%Draw 32%Cesena FC 24%
Main signalHome win · 44%
Model confidence49.5%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for Modena FC

Data updated on 20 October 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample4
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample7
2024-10Risk36.4%11
2024-11Risk40.0%15
2024-12Risk40.0%20
2025-01Risk39.1%23
2025-02Risk44.4%27
2025-03Risk48.4%31
2025-04Risk47.1%34
2025-05Risk44.7%38
2025-08Risk45.0%40
2025-09Risk46.3%41
2025-10Risk45.7%46
2025-11Risk45.8%48
2025-12Risk46.2%52
2026-01Risk46.4%56
2026-02Risk45.9%61
2026-03Risk45.3%64
2026-04Risk44.1%68
2026-05Risk43.7%71
2026-09Risk43.2%74
2026-10Risk42.7%75
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-05Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2026-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2026-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2026-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2026-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-05Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1

4. Predictive profile for Modena FC

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.46 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.10 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for Modena FC

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home0.97
Expected goals conceded at home0.96
Expected goals created away1.06
Expected goals conceded away0.89
Goals scored / match (5)0.80
Goals conceded / match (5)1.20

History: 81 verified matches

6. Market signals for Modena FC

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1269.3%80.0%25Major, well-documented signal
Both teams to score53.9%66.7%12Success above the average probability
Double chance 1X69.7%64.0%25Recurring signal
Double chance X263.8%61.9%21Recurring signal
Home win53.5%75.0%4Promising signal, limited sample

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Modena FC
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Modena FC
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Modena FC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Modena FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Modena FC vs Cesena FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 44%.

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

9. Modena FC FAQ

What is the next match for Modena FC on Foresportia?

This page shows Modena FC's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read Modena FC's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Modena FC's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Modena FC?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Modena FC, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Modena FC: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Modena FC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Modena FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Modena FC vs Cesena FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 44%.