Foresportia Elo
1480Serie B rank : 6th
Modena FC
Foresportia analyses Modena FC using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.53Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
67.3%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates Modena FC
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Modena FCElo : 1518
US Avellino 1912Elo : 1467
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Modena FC 47%Draw 29%US Avellino 1912 24%
3. Prediction reliability for Modena FC
Data updated on 06 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | 36.4% | 11 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 40.0% | 15 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 40.0% | 20 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 39.1% | 23 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 44.4% | 27 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 48.4% | 31 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 47.1% | 34 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 44.7% | 38 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 45.0% | 40 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 46.3% | 41 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 45.7% | 46 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 45.8% | 48 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 46.2% | 52 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 46.4% | 56 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 45.9% | 61 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 45.3% | 64 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 44.1% | 68 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 43.7% | 71 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
4. Predictive profile for Modena FC
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.46 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.13 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Modena FC
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 77 verified matches
6. Market signals for Modena FC
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1269.4%80.0%20Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X264.0%68.8%16Confirmed signal
Double chance 1X70.1%60.0%20Success below the average probability
Home win53.5%75.0%4Promising signal, limited sample
Both teams to score53.7%57.1%7Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Modena FC
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Modena FC
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Modena FC
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Modena FC
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Modena FC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Modena FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Modena FC vs US Avellino 1912 on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 47%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Modena FC FAQ
What is the next match for Modena FC on Foresportia?
This page shows Modena FC's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Modena FC's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Modena FC's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Modena FC?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Modena FC, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Modena FC: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Modena FC still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Modena FC still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Modena FC vs US Avellino 1912 on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 47%.