Foresportia Elo
1567Championship rank : 3rd
Middlesbrough FC
Foresportia analyses Middlesbrough FC using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.55Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.98Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
47.3%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Middlesbrough FC
Middlesbrough FC are scoring freely, but their defense is vulnerable: 10 goals scored and 8 conceded across the last five recorded matches in Championship. The team have taken 9 points from a possible 15 over these matches. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Championship · 2026-2027 · 9 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Middlesbrough FC
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
BoltonElo : Not available
Middlesbrough FCElo : Not available
3. Prediction reliability for Middlesbrough FC
Data updated on 21 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | 8.3% | 12 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 21.4% | 14 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 21.1% | 19 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 20.8% | 24 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 27.6% | 29 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 32.4% | 34 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 35.0% | 40 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 36.6% | 41 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 38.6% | 44 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 39.6% | 48 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 40.4% | 52 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 42.1% | 57 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 40.0% | 60 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 43.1% | 65 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 41.2% | 68 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 41.7% | 72 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 40.3% | 77 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 39.5% | 81 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 39.8% | 83 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 40.2% | 87 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 41.6% | 89 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 10 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 11 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 13 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 14 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
4. Predictive profile for Middlesbrough FC
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.79 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.35 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Middlesbrough FC
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 104 verified matches
6. Market signals for Middlesbrough FC
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X69.5%76.7%30Major, well-documented signal
Both teams to score55.4%70.6%17Success above the average probability
Double chance 1271.5%61.3%31Success below the average probability
Double chance X263.3%60.0%25Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Middlesbrough FC
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Middlesbrough FC
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Middlesbrough FC
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Middlesbrough FC
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Middlesbrough FC mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Middlesbrough FC shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.00 goals per match recently.
The next confirmed match is Bolton vs Middlesbrough FC on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 80.0% success across 15 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Middlesbrough FC FAQ
What is the next match for Middlesbrough FC on Foresportia?
This page shows Middlesbrough FC's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.
How should you read Middlesbrough FC's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Middlesbrough FC's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Middlesbrough FC?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Middlesbrough FC, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Middlesbrough FC: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Middlesbrough FC mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Middlesbrough FC shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.00 goals per match recently.
The next confirmed match is Bolton vs Middlesbrough FC on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.