Logo Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

ScotlandPremiership2026-2027

Foresportia analyses Kilmarnock using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1449Premiership rank : 11th
1X2 entropy
1.51Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
47.6%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock are going through a difficult run, taking 4 points from the last five recorded matches in Premiership. Their defense needs attention: 13 goals conceded against 7 scored. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Premiership · 2026-2027 · 11 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
130
323
030
130
221

1. How Foresportia evaluates Kilmarnock

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1449Foresportia EloPremiership rank : 11th
1.511X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.17Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
0.80Recent formpoints / match
47.6%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Premiership

CelticElo : 1632
VS
KilmarnockElo : 1439
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
79%15%6%
Celtic 79%Draw 15%Kilmarnock 6%
Main signalHome win · 79%
Model confidence65.6%
StabilityUltra stable
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for Kilmarnock

Data updated on 03 November 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2026-04RiskInsufficient sample1
2026-05RiskInsufficient sample5
2026-08RiskInsufficient sample6
2026-09Risk50.0%10
2026-10Risk50.0%14
2026-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-05Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1

4. Predictive profile for Kilmarnock

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.38 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.25 pts/matchComparable return

5. Statistical markers for Kilmarnock

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home0.89
Expected goals conceded at home1.26
Expected goals created away0.82
Expected goals conceded away1.42
Goals scored / match (5)1.40
Goals conceded / match (5)2.60

History: 16 verified matches

6. Market signals for Kilmarnock

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1271.3%82.4%17Major, well-documented signal
Over 2.553.9%75.0%12Success above the average probability
Double chance 1X69.3%66.7%15Confirmed signal
Home draw no bet59.8%58.3%12Recurring signal
Double chance X265.3%56.2%16Success below the average probability

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Kilmarnock
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Kilmarnock
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Kilmarnock still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Kilmarnock still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Celtic vs Kilmarnock on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 79%.

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

9. Kilmarnock FAQ

What is the next match for Kilmarnock on Foresportia?

This page shows Kilmarnock's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read Kilmarnock's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Kilmarnock's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Kilmarnock?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Kilmarnock, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Kilmarnock: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Kilmarnock still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Kilmarnock still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Celtic vs Kilmarnock on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 79%.