Foresportia Elo
1474Liga Profesional rank : 11th
Independiente
Foresportia analyses Independiente using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.56Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.98Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.20Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
42.1%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Independiente
The goal tally for Independiente is level across the last five recorded matches in Liga Profesional: 4 scored and the same number conceded. The team have taken 6 points from a possible 15 over these matches.
Liga Profesional · 2026 · 21 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Independiente
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Argentinos JRSElo : 1560
IndependienteElo : 1499
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Argentinos JRS 42%Draw 32%Independiente 26%
3. Prediction reliability for Independiente
Data updated on 11 November 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
42.9%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 50.0% | 12 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 46.7% | 15 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 42.1% | 19 |
| 2026-11 | Risk | 42.9% | 21 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for Independiente
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.22 pts/matchLower observed return
Away performance1.58 pts/matchHigher observed return
5. Statistical markers for Independiente
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 21 verified matches
6. Market signals for Independiente
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance X261.9%73.7%19Success above the average probability
Double chance 1270.3%71.4%21Robust signal
Under 2.555.3%64.7%17Success above the average probability
Double chance 1X69.4%57.1%21Success below the average probability
Both teams to score53.3%57.1%14Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Independiente
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Independiente
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Independiente
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Independiente
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Independiente mainly relies on a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Independiente currently relies on a more reliable defensive base, conceding only 0.80 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is Argentinos JRS vs Independiente on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 42%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Independiente FAQ
What is the next match for Independiente on Foresportia?
This page shows Independiente's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Independiente's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Independiente's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Independiente?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Independiente, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Independiente: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Independiente mainly relies on a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Independiente currently relies on a more reliable defensive base, conceding only 0.80 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is Argentinos JRS vs Independiente on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 42%.