Foresportia Elo
1403HNL rank : 10th
HNK Gorica
Foresportia analyses HNK Gorica using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.49Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.49Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.40Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
43.8%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica are going through a difficult run, taking 2 points from the last five recorded matches in HNL. The team have scored few goals: 3 goals, against 7 conceded. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
HNL · 2026-2027 · 7 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates HNK Gorica
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Istra 1961Elo : 1498
HNK GoricaElo : 1408
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Istra 1961 43%Draw 32%HNK Gorica 25%
3. Prediction reliability for HNK Gorica
Data updated on 18 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 66.7% | 12 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 61.5% | 13 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
4. Predictive profile for HNK Gorica
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.00 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.43 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for HNK Gorica
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 15 verified matches
6. Market signals for HNK Gorica
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1270.9%86.7%15Major, well-documented signal
Under 2.553.7%81.8%11Success above the average probability
Home draw no bet65.9%87.5%8Promising signal, limited sample
Double chance 1X69.5%76.9%13Robust signal
Double chance X269.9%58.3%12Success below the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
HNK Gorica
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
HNK Gorica
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
HNK Gorica
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
HNK Gorica
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, HNK Gorica mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
HNK Gorica still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 43%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. HNK Gorica FAQ
What is the next match for HNK Gorica on Foresportia?
This page shows HNK Gorica's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read HNK Gorica's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for HNK Gorica's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for HNK Gorica?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for HNK Gorica, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
HNK Gorica: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, HNK Gorica mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
HNK Gorica still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 43%.