Foresportia Elo
1635Veikkausliiga rank : 3rd
HJK
Foresportia analyses HJK using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.46Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.98Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.20Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
54.9%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: HJK
HJK are enjoying a positive run, taking 11 points from the last five recorded matches in Veikkausliiga. With 15 goals scored and 4 conceded, the team combine a productive attack with a solid defense over these matches.
Veikkausliiga · 2026 · 28 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 6 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates HJK
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
HJKElo : 1653
Kuopion PalloseuraElo : 1674
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
HJK 39%Draw 32%Kuopion Palloseura 29%
3. Prediction reliability for HJK
Data updated on 20 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
90.0%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-06 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-07 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 58.3% | 12 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 56.2% | 16 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 47.4% | 19 |
| 2026-06 | Risk | 45.5% | 22 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | 45.8% | 24 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 48.1% | 27 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 46.7% | 30 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 32 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2026-06 | Correct and above | 78.6% | 14 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 76.5% | 17 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 76.5% | 17 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 77.8% | 18 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
4. Predictive profile for HJK
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.04 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.76 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for HJK
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 50 verified matches
6. Market signals for HJK
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X72.4%81.8%22Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1273.8%78.6%28Major, well-documented signal
Home win59.1%70.0%10Success above the average probability
Double chance X270.1%66.7%18Confirmed signal
Over 2.555.1%66.7%18Success above the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
HJK
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
HJK
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
HJK
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
HJK
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, HJK mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
HJK is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.20 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.62.
The next detected match is HJK vs Kuopion Palloseura on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 39%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 90.0% success across 10 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. HJK FAQ
What is the next match for HJK on Foresportia?
This page shows HJK's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read HJK's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for HJK's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for HJK?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for HJK, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
HJK: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, HJK mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
HJK is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.20 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.62.
The next detected match is HJK vs Kuopion Palloseura on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 39%.