Guadalajara Chivas

MexicoLiga MX2026

Foresportia analyses Guadalajara Chivas using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo

1597Liga MX rank : 4th

1X2 entropy

1.53Lower = easier to read

Points volatility

0.98Standard deviation over 5 matches

Recent form

1.20Points per match over 5 matches

Model confidence

45.5%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas have taken 6 points from a possible 15 across the last five recorded matches in Liga MX. The team have scored 7 goals and conceded 6.

Liga MX · 2026 · 20 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details

Matches analyzed (up to 5)
Date	Goals scored	Goals conceded	Points
2026-09-14	3	0	3
2026-09-20	2	2	1
2026-09-27	0	2	0
2026-10-11	1	1	1
2026-10-18	1	1	1

1. How Foresportia evaluates Guadalajara Chivas

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1597Foresportia EloLiga MX rank : 4th

1.531X2 entropyLower = easier to read

0.98Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches

1.20Recent formpoints / match

45.5%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Liga MX
25 October 2026 · 02:00

MonterreyElo : 1469

Guadalajara ChivasElo : 1590

1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)

38%31%31%

Monterrey 38%Draw 31%Guadalajara Chivas 31%

Main signalHome win · 38%

Model confidence39.3%

StabilityRisk

View match details →

25 October 2026 · 02:00
Monterrey – Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
01 November 2026 · 02:07
Guadalajara Chivas – Atlante FCLiga MX
09 November 2026 · 03:00
Leon – Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
23 November 2026 · 00:07
Guadalajara Chivas – Cruz AzulLiga MX

3. Prediction reliability for Guadalajara Chivas

Data updated on 21 October 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history

Insufficient sample

Cumulative monthly history	Profile	Reliability	Volume
2026-04	Risk	Insufficient sample	3
2026-05	Risk	Insufficient sample	7
2026-07	Risk	Insufficient sample	9
2026-08	Risk	46.2%	13
2026-09	Risk	47.1%	17
2026-10	Risk	45.0%	20
2026-04	Correct and above	Insufficient sample	1
2026-05	Correct and above	Insufficient sample	1
2026-07	Correct and above	Insufficient sample	1
2026-08	Correct and above	Insufficient sample	1
2026-09	Correct and above	Insufficient sample	1
2026-10	Correct and above	Insufficient sample	1
2026-04	Stable and above	Insufficient sample	1
2026-05	Stable and above	Insufficient sample	1
2026-07	Stable and above	Insufficient sample	1
2026-08	Stable and above	Insufficient sample	1
2026-09	Stable and above	Insufficient sample	1
2026-10	Stable and above	Insufficient sample	1
2026-04	Ultra stable	Insufficient sample	0
2026-05	Ultra stable	Insufficient sample	0
2026-07	Ultra stable	Insufficient sample	0
2026-08	Ultra stable	Insufficient sample	0
2026-09	Ultra stable	Insufficient sample	0
2026-10	Ultra stable	Insufficient sample	0

4. Predictive profile for Guadalajara Chivas

ContextObserved measureReading

Home performance1.82 pts/matchHigher observed return

Away performance1.20 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for Guadalajara Chivas

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.03

Expected goals conceded at home0.80

Expected goals created away1.04

Expected goals conceded away0.77

Goals scored / match (5)1.00

Goals conceded / match (5)1.20

History: 21 verified matches

6. Market signals for Guadalajara Chivas

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading

Double chance 1X69.9%75.0%20Major, well-documented signal

Double chance X263.6%64.7%17Recurring signal

Double chance 1269.4%60.0%20Success below the average probability

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.

Guadalajara Chivas

Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.

Guadalajara Chivas

xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.

PositiveNegative

Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.

Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Guadalajara Chivas mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Guadalajara Chivas still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas on 25 October 2026 at 02:00. The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 38%.

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Liga MXLeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. Guadalajara Chivas FAQ

What is the next match for Guadalajara Chivas on Foresportia?

This page shows Guadalajara Chivas's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read Guadalajara Chivas's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Guadalajara Chivas's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Guadalajara Chivas?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Guadalajara Chivas, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.