Foresportia Elo
1423Brasileirão rank : 18th
Grêmio Porto Alegre
Foresportia analyses Grêmio Porto Alegre using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.52Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.49Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
48.3%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Grêmio Porto Alegre
Grêmio Porto Alegre are going through a difficult run, taking 3 points from the last five recorded matches in Brasileirão. Their defense needs attention: 9 goals conceded against 6 scored.
Brasileirão · 2026 · 31 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Grêmio Porto Alegre
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Coritiba FCElo : 1466
Grêmio Porto AlegreElo : 1408
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Coritiba FC 36%Draw 29%Grêmio Porto Alegre 35%
3. Prediction reliability for Grêmio Porto Alegre
Data updated on 21 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-06 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-07 | Risk | 28.6% | 14 |
| 2024-08 | Risk | 41.2% | 17 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | 42.9% | 21 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | 44.0% | 25 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 44.8% | 29 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 43.8% | 32 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 42.4% | 33 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 41.7% | 36 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 46.2% | 39 |
| 2025-06 | Risk | 46.3% | 41 |
| 2025-07 | Risk | 48.9% | 45 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 48.0% | 50 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 48.1% | 54 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 48.3% | 58 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 46.8% | 62 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 46.0% | 63 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 46.0% | 63 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 46.2% | 65 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 46.4% | 69 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 47.2% | 72 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 46.8% | 77 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | 46.8% | 79 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 48.8% | 82 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 48.8% | 86 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 48.3% | 89 |
| 2024-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 69.2% | 13 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 69.2% | 13 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | 69.2% | 13 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 71.4% | 14 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 71.4% | 14 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 71.4% | 14 |
| 2024-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
4. Predictive profile for Grêmio Porto Alegre
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.62 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.69 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Grêmio Porto Alegre
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 103 verified matches
6. Market signals for Grêmio Porto Alegre
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X71.5%89.3%28Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1272.3%66.7%30Confirmed signal
Home draw no bet62.9%62.5%24Recurring signal
Both teams to score54.2%59.3%27Recurring signal
Home win59.6%80.0%5Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Grêmio Porto Alegre
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Grêmio Porto Alegre
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Grêmio Porto Alegre
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Grêmio Porto Alegre
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Grêmio Porto Alegre mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Grêmio Porto Alegre still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Coritiba FC vs Grêmio Porto Alegre on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 36%.
AI verdictStrong predictive reliability
Correct and above: 71.4% success across 14 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Grêmio Porto Alegre FAQ
What is the next match for Grêmio Porto Alegre on Foresportia?
This page shows Grêmio Porto Alegre's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Grêmio Porto Alegre's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Grêmio Porto Alegre's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Grêmio Porto Alegre?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Grêmio Porto Alegre, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Grêmio Porto Alegre: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Grêmio Porto Alegre mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Grêmio Porto Alegre still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Coritiba FC vs Grêmio Porto Alegre on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 36%.