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Fortuna Sittard

NetherlandsEredivisie2026-2027

Foresportia analyses Fortuna Sittard using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1491Eredivisie rank : 6th
1X2 entropy
1.45Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
1.60Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
53.9%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Fortuna Sittard

The defense of Fortuna Sittard needs attention: 10 goals conceded across the last five recorded matches in Eredivisie. The team have scored 8 goals over these matches. The team have taken 8 points from a possible 15 over these matches. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Eredivisie · 2026-2027 · 7 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
323
150
103
111
221

1. How Foresportia evaluates Fortuna Sittard

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1491Foresportia EloEredivisie rank : 6th
1.451X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.20Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
1.60Recent formpoints / match
53.9%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Eredivisie

Fortuna SittardElo : 1496
VS
Excelsior RotterdamElo : 1479
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
36%29%35%
Fortuna Sittard 36%Draw 29%Excelsior Rotterdam 35%
Main signalHome win · 36%
Model confidence44.4%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for Fortuna Sittard

Data updated on 20 October 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2025-08RiskInsufficient sample3
2025-09RiskInsufficient sample7
2025-10Risk50.0%10
2025-11Risk46.2%13
2025-12Risk43.8%16
2026-01Risk38.9%18
2026-02Risk33.3%21
2026-03Risk30.4%23
2026-04Risk32.0%25
2026-05Risk34.6%26
2026-08Risk35.7%28
2026-09Risk37.9%29
2026-10Risk35.5%31
2025-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2026-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2026-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-05Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2026-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2026-09Correct and above80.0%10
2026-10Correct and above80.0%10
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2026-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1

4. Predictive profile for Fortuna Sittard

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.30 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.05 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for Fortuna Sittard

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home0.79
Expected goals conceded at home1.11
Expected goals created away0.91
Expected goals conceded away1.06
Goals scored / match (5)1.60
Goals conceded / match (5)2.00

History: 41 verified matches

6. Market signals for Fortuna Sittard

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Both teams to score57.7%80.0%15Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1274.0%78.3%23Major, well-documented signal
Over 2.557.1%73.3%15Success above the average probability
Double chance X267.9%72.2%18Robust signal
Double chance 1X74.2%68.8%16Confirmed signal

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Fortuna Sittard
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Fortuna Sittard
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Fortuna Sittard still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Fortuna Sittard still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior Rotterdam on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 36%.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Correct and above: 80.0% success across 10 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

9. Fortuna Sittard FAQ

What is the next match for Fortuna Sittard on Foresportia?

This page shows Fortuna Sittard's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read Fortuna Sittard's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Fortuna Sittard's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Fortuna Sittard?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Fortuna Sittard, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Fortuna Sittard: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Fortuna Sittard still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Fortuna Sittard still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior Rotterdam on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 36%.