Logo Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce

TürkiyeSüper Lig2026-2027

Foresportia analyses Fenerbahce using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1708Süper Lig rank : 3rd
1X2 entropy
1.35Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.26Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
2.00Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
59.3%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce are enjoying a positive run, taking 10 points from the last five recorded matches in Süper Lig. With 15 goals scored and 2 conceded, the team combine a productive attack with a solid defense over these matches. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Süper Lig · 2026-2027 · 8 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
120
001
803
303
303

1. How Foresportia evaluates Fenerbahce

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1708Foresportia EloSüper Lig rank : 3rd
1.351X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.26Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
2.00Recent formpoints / match
59.3%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Süper Lig

GalatasarayElo : 1716
VS
FenerbahceElo : 1718
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
39%27%34%
Galatasaray 39%Draw 27%Fenerbahce 34%
Main signalHome win · 39%
Model confidence48.9%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for Fenerbahce

Data updated on 21 October 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2025-08RiskInsufficient sample2
2025-09RiskInsufficient sample5
2025-10RiskInsufficient sample7
2025-11RiskInsufficient sample9
2025-12Risk45.5%11
2026-01Risk45.5%11
2026-02Risk50.0%12
2026-03Risk46.2%13
2026-04Risk50.0%14
2026-05Risk53.3%15
2026-08Risk56.2%16
2026-09Risk50.0%18
2026-10Risk50.0%18
2025-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2026-02Correct and above81.8%11
2026-03Correct and above78.6%14
2026-04Correct and above76.5%17
2026-05Correct and above73.7%19
2026-08Correct and above71.4%21
2026-09Correct and above72.7%22
2026-10Correct and above75.0%24
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1

4. Predictive profile for Fenerbahce

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.29 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance2.00 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for Fenerbahce

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.60
Expected goals conceded at home0.90
Expected goals created away1.76
Expected goals conceded away0.61
Goals scored / match (5)3.00
Goals conceded / match (5)0.40

History: 42 verified matches

6. Market signals for Fenerbahce

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X79.2%86.4%22Major, well-documented signal
Home win65.3%72.7%11Robust signal
Double chance 1275.3%71.9%32Robust signal
Double chance X270.1%71.4%21Robust signal
Away draw no bet77.4%63.6%11Success below the average probability

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Fenerbahce
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Fenerbahce
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Fenerbahce mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Fenerbahce is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.26.

The next detected match is Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 39%.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Correct and above: 75.0% success across 24 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

9. Fenerbahce FAQ

What is the next match for Fenerbahce on Foresportia?

This page shows Fenerbahce's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read Fenerbahce's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Fenerbahce's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Fenerbahce?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Fenerbahce, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Fenerbahce: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Fenerbahce mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Fenerbahce is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.26.

The next detected match is Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 39%.