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FC Watford

EnglandChampionship2026-2027

Foresportia analyses FC Watford using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1326Championship rank : 20th
1X2 entropy
1.57Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
0.60Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
46.8%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: FC Watford

FC Watford are going through a difficult run, taking 3 points from the last five recorded matches in Championship. The team are struggling to score and their defense needs attention: 4 goals scored and 12 conceded. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Championship · 2026-2027 · 10 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
120
010
040
150
203

1. How Foresportia evaluates FC Watford

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1326Foresportia EloChampionship rank : 20th
1.571X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.20Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
0.60Recent formpoints / match
46.8%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Championship

Wolverhampton WanderersElo : 1463
VS
FC WatfordElo : 1349
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
49%29%22%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 49%Draw 29%FC Watford 22%
Main signalHome win · 49%
Model confidence51.5%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for FC Watford

Data updated on 21 October 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample2
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample9
2024-11Risk53.3%15
2024-12Risk50.0%20
2025-01Risk46.2%26
2025-02Risk46.7%30
2025-03Risk45.7%35
2025-04Risk53.7%41
2025-05Risk52.4%42
2025-08Risk52.2%46
2025-09Risk53.1%49
2025-10Risk54.7%53
2025-11Risk53.6%56
2025-12Risk51.7%58
2026-01Risk49.2%61
2026-02Risk47.8%67
2026-03Risk45.1%71
2026-04Risk45.5%77
2026-05Risk46.2%78
2026-08Risk45.0%80
2026-09Risk47.1%85
2026-10Risk48.9%88
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-05Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-12Correct and above66.7%12
2026-01Correct and above64.3%14
2026-02Correct and above64.3%14
2026-03Correct and above64.3%14
2026-04Correct and above64.3%14
2026-05Correct and above64.3%14
2026-08Correct and above64.3%14
2026-09Correct and above64.3%14
2026-10Correct and above64.3%14
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1

4. Predictive profile for FC Watford

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.69 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.75 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for FC Watford

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home0.94
Expected goals conceded at home0.94
Expected goals created away0.80
Expected goals conceded away1.10
Goals scored / match (5)0.80
Goals conceded / match (5)2.40

History: 102 verified matches

6. Market signals for FC Watford

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1269.8%75.9%29Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X65.9%75.9%29Major, well-documented signal
Under 2.559.7%57.1%28Recurring signal
Home draw no bet58.4%56.2%16Recurring signal

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
FC Watford
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
FC Watford
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, FC Watford mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

FC Watford still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Wolverhampton Wanderers vs FC Watford on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 49%.

AI verdictModerate predictive reliability

Correct and above: 64.3% success across 14 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore ChampionshipLeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. FC Watford FAQ

What is the next match for FC Watford on Foresportia?

This page shows FC Watford's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read FC Watford's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for FC Watford's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for FC Watford?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for FC Watford, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

FC Watford: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, FC Watford mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

FC Watford still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Wolverhampton Wanderers vs FC Watford on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 49%.