Foresportia Elo
1409Championship rank : 7th
FC Watford
Foresportia analyses FC Watford using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.55Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
49.6%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates FC Watford
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Swansea CityElo : 1531
FC WatfordElo : 1416
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Swansea City 40%Draw 31%FC Watford 29%
3. Prediction reliability for FC Watford
Data updated on 31 August 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 53.3% | 15 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 50.0% | 20 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 46.2% | 26 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 46.7% | 30 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 45.7% | 35 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 53.7% | 41 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 52.4% | 42 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 52.2% | 46 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 53.1% | 49 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 54.7% | 53 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 53.6% | 56 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 51.7% | 58 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 49.2% | 61 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 47.8% | 67 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 45.1% | 71 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 45.5% | 77 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 46.2% | 78 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 45.0% | 80 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 66.7% | 12 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 64.3% | 14 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 64.3% | 14 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 64.3% | 14 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 64.3% | 14 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 64.3% | 14 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 64.3% | 14 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
4. Predictive profile for FC Watford
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.70 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.81 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for FC Watford
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 94 verified matches
6. Market signals for FC Watford
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X64.2%76.2%21Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1269.9%66.7%21Confirmed signal
Under 2.561.5%60.0%20Recurring signal
Double chance X266.7%55.0%20Success below the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
FC Watford
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
FC Watford
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
FC Watford
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
FC Watford
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, FC Watford mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Watford still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Swansea City vs FC Watford on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 40%.
AI verdictModerate predictive reliability
Correct and above: 64.3% success across 14 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. FC Watford FAQ
What is the next match for FC Watford on Foresportia?
This page shows FC Watford's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read FC Watford's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for FC Watford's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for FC Watford?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for FC Watford, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
FC Watford: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, FC Watford mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Watford still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Swansea City vs FC Watford on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 40%.