Logo FC Southampton

FC Southampton

EnglandChampionship2026-2027

Foresportia analyses FC Southampton using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1612Championship rank : 7th
1X2 entropy
1.50Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
2.40Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
53.0%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: FC Southampton

FC Southampton are enjoying a positive run, taking 12 points from the last five recorded matches in Championship. With 10 goals scored and 4 conceded, the team combine a productive attack with a solid defense over these matches. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Championship · 2026-2027 · 9 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
313
413
120
103
103

1. How Foresportia evaluates FC Southampton

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1612Foresportia EloChampionship rank : 7th
1.501X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.20Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
2.40Recent formpoints / match
53.0%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Championship

West Ham UnitedElo : 1611
VS
FC SouthamptonElo : 1616
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
49%25%27%
West Ham United 49%Draw 25%FC Southampton 27%
Main signalHome win · 49%
Model confidence51.2%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for FC Southampton

Data updated on 21 October 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
94.4%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample1
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample4
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-11RiskInsufficient sample8
2024-12Risk60.0%10
2025-01Risk60.0%10
2025-02Risk54.5%11
2025-03Risk58.3%12
2025-04Risk57.1%14
2025-05Risk56.2%16
2025-08Risk52.6%19
2025-09Risk50.0%22
2025-10Risk46.2%26
2025-11Risk48.4%31
2025-12Risk45.7%35
2026-01Risk45.0%40
2026-02Risk45.2%42
2026-03Risk44.4%45
2026-04Risk45.8%48
2026-05Risk47.1%51
2026-08Risk47.2%53
2026-09Risk46.4%56
2026-10Risk47.4%57
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-01Correct and above100.0%13
2025-02Correct and above100.0%16
2025-03Correct and above100.0%17
2025-04Correct and above95.0%20
2025-05Correct and above90.9%22
2025-08Correct and above91.3%23
2025-09Correct and above87.5%24
2025-10Correct and above87.5%24
2025-11Correct and above88.0%25
2025-12Correct and above88.9%27
2026-01Correct and above89.3%28
2026-02Correct and above87.1%31
2026-03Correct and above87.5%32
2026-04Correct and above85.7%35
2026-05Correct and above85.7%35
2026-08Correct and above86.1%36
2026-09Correct and above86.5%37
2026-10Correct and above86.8%38
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-02Stable and above100.0%10
2025-03Stable and above100.0%11
2025-04Stable and above100.0%12
2025-05Stable and above92.9%14
2025-08Stable and above92.9%14
2025-09Stable and above92.9%14
2025-10Stable and above92.9%14
2025-11Stable and above92.9%14
2025-12Stable and above93.8%16
2026-01Stable and above93.8%16
2026-02Stable and above93.8%16
2026-03Stable and above94.1%17
2026-04Stable and above94.1%17
2026-05Stable and above94.1%17
2026-08Stable and above94.1%17
2026-09Stable and above94.1%17
2026-10Stable and above94.4%18
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2025-12Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-01Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-02Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-03Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-04Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-05Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-08Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-09Ultra stable90.0%10
2026-10Ultra stable90.0%10

4. Predictive profile for FC Southampton

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.42 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.00 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for FC Southampton

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.43
Expected goals conceded at home0.77
Expected goals created away1.30
Expected goals conceded away1.02
Goals scored / match (5)2.00
Goals conceded / match (5)0.80

History: 95 verified matches

6. Market signals for FC Southampton

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X70.1%80.8%26Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1273.8%73.3%30Robust signal
Both teams to score56.3%73.9%23Success above the average probability
Over 2.557.8%70.6%17Success above the average probability
Home win57.1%70.0%10Success above the average probability

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
FC Southampton
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
FC Southampton
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, FC Southampton mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

FC Southampton is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.75.

The next detected match is West Ham United vs FC Southampton on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 49%.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Stable and above: 94.4% success across 18 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore ChampionshipLeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. FC Southampton FAQ

What is the next match for FC Southampton on Foresportia?

This page shows FC Southampton's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read FC Southampton's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for FC Southampton's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for FC Southampton?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for FC Southampton, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

FC Southampton: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, FC Southampton mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

FC Southampton is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.75.

The next detected match is West Ham United vs FC Southampton on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 49%.