Foresportia Elo
1579Championship rank : 18th
FC Southampton
Foresportia analyses FC Southampton using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.50Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.26Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.00Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
53.7%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates FC Southampton
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Birmingham CityElo : 1488
FC SouthamptonElo : 1601
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Birmingham City 24%Draw 28%FC Southampton 48%
3. Prediction reliability for FC Southampton
Data updated on 31 August 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
94.1%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 60.0% | 10 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 60.0% | 10 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 54.5% | 11 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 58.3% | 12 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 57.1% | 14 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 56.2% | 16 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 52.6% | 19 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 50.0% | 22 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 46.2% | 26 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 48.4% | 31 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 45.7% | 35 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 45.0% | 40 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 45.2% | 42 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 44.4% | 45 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 45.8% | 48 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 47.1% | 51 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 47.2% | 53 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 13 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 16 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 17 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | 95.0% | 20 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 22 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 91.3% | 23 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 87.5% | 24 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 87.5% | 24 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 88.0% | 25 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 88.9% | 27 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 89.3% | 28 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 87.1% | 31 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 87.5% | 32 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 35 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 35 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 86.1% | 36 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 10 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 11 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 12 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | 92.9% | 14 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | 92.9% | 14 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | 92.9% | 14 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | 92.9% | 14 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | 92.9% | 14 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | 93.8% | 16 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 93.8% | 16 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 93.8% | 16 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 94.1% | 17 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 94.1% | 17 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 94.1% | 17 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 94.1% | 17 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
4. Predictive profile for FC Southampton
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.31 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.98 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for FC Southampton
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 89 verified matches
6. Market signals for FC Southampton
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Over 2.559.3%90.0%10Success above the average probability
Both teams to score57.0%80.0%15Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X71.6%77.8%18Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1273.5%77.3%22Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X267.1%66.7%15Confirmed signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
FC Southampton
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
FC Southampton
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
FC Southampton
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
FC Southampton
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, FC Southampton mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Southampton is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.12.
The next detected match is Birmingham City vs FC Southampton on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 48%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 94.1% success across 17 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. FC Southampton FAQ
What is the next match for FC Southampton on Foresportia?
This page shows FC Southampton's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read FC Southampton's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for FC Southampton's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for FC Southampton?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for FC Southampton, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
FC Southampton: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, FC Southampton mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Southampton is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.12.
The next detected match is Birmingham City vs FC Southampton on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 48%.