Foresportia Elo
1495Brasileirão rank : 13th
FC São Paulo
Foresportia analyses FC São Paulo using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.54Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.49Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.40Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
51.3%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates FC São Paulo
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Associação Chapecoense de FutebolElo : 1353
FC São PauloElo : 1492
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 17%Draw 25%FC São Paulo 58%
3. Prediction reliability for FC São Paulo
Data updated on 23 August 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-05 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-06 | Risk | 50.0% | 10 |
| 2024-07 | Risk | 52.9% | 17 |
| 2024-08 | Risk | 55.0% | 20 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | 52.2% | 23 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 24 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 44.4% | 27 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 44.8% | 29 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 43.3% | 30 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 42.9% | 35 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 47.5% | 40 |
| 2025-06 | Risk | 46.3% | 41 |
| 2025-07 | Risk | 48.9% | 45 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 50.0% | 50 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 47.2% | 53 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 49.1% | 57 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 48.4% | 62 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 50.0% | 64 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 50.8% | 65 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 50.7% | 67 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 51.4% | 70 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 74 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 48.7% | 78 |
| 2026-06 | Risk | 48.1% | 79 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | 47.5% | 80 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 47.6% | 82 |
| 2024-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2026-06 | Correct and above | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 13 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 13 |
| 2024-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for FC São Paulo
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.94 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.96 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for FC São Paulo
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 95 verified matches
6. Market signals for FC São Paulo
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X68.3%81.0%21Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1271.3%71.4%21Robust signal
Both teams to score53.6%66.7%12Success above the average probability
Under 2.559.0%58.8%17Recurring signal
Home win56.5%75.0%4Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
FC São Paulo
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
FC São Paulo
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
FC São Paulo
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
FC São Paulo
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, FC São Paulo mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC São Paulo still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs FC São Paulo on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 58%.
85/100
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 84.6% success across 13 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. FC São Paulo FAQ
What is the next match for FC São Paulo on Foresportia?
This page shows FC São Paulo's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read FC São Paulo's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for FC São Paulo's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for FC São Paulo?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for FC São Paulo, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
FC São Paulo: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, FC São Paulo mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC São Paulo still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs FC São Paulo on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 58%.