Foresportia Elo
1468Championship rank : 15th
FC Portsmouth
Foresportia analyses FC Portsmouth using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.51Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
59.0%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates FC Portsmouth
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
FC PortsmouthElo : 1454
Derby CountyElo : 1446
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
FC Portsmouth 36%Draw 31%Derby County 33%
3. Prediction reliability for FC Portsmouth
Data updated on 31 August 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | 30.0% | 10 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 35.7% | 14 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 50.0% | 20 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 57.7% | 26 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 56.7% | 30 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 54.3% | 35 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 53.7% | 41 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 52.4% | 42 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 54.3% | 46 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 54.2% | 48 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 52.8% | 53 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 54.4% | 57 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 51.7% | 60 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 52.4% | 63 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 53.6% | 69 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 53.4% | 73 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 78 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 49.4% | 79 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 49.4% | 81 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 69.2% | 13 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 69.2% | 13 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 69.2% | 13 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for FC Portsmouth
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.49 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.83 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for FC Portsmouth
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 94 verified matches
6. Market signals for FC Portsmouth
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1271.1%81.8%22Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X263.5%63.2%19Recurring signal
Both teams to score53.4%63.6%11Success above the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
FC Portsmouth
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
FC Portsmouth
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
FC Portsmouth
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
FC Portsmouth
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, FC Portsmouth mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Portsmouth still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is FC Portsmouth vs Derby County on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 36%.
AI verdictStrong predictive reliability
Correct and above: 69.2% success across 13 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. FC Portsmouth FAQ
What is the next match for FC Portsmouth on Foresportia?
This page shows FC Portsmouth's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read FC Portsmouth's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for FC Portsmouth's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for FC Portsmouth?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for FC Portsmouth, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
FC Portsmouth: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, FC Portsmouth mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Portsmouth still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is FC Portsmouth vs Derby County on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 36%.