Foresportia Elo
1634Super League rank : 1st
FC Lugano
Foresportia analyses FC Lugano using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.56Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.80Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
46.6%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates FC Lugano
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
FC LuganoElo : 1651
Servette FCElo : 1532
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
FC Lugano 43%Draw 30%Servette FC 27%
3. Prediction reliability for FC Lugano
Data updated on 02 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 45.5% | 11 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 46.7% | 15 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 42.1% | 19 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 42.9% | 21 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 37.5% | 24 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 37.0% | 27 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 37.9% | 29 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 36.4% | 33 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 41.7% | 36 |
| 2025-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for FC Lugano
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.10 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.62 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for FC Lugano
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 41 verified matches
6. Market signals for FC Lugano
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X68.1%69.6%23Confirmed signal
Double chance 1273.9%66.7%27Confirmed signal
Both teams to score55.7%61.1%18Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
FC Lugano
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
FC Lugano
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
FC Lugano
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
FC Lugano
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, FC Lugano mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Lugano is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.60 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.51.
The next detected match is FC Lugano vs Servette FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 43%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. FC Lugano FAQ
What is the next match for FC Lugano on Foresportia?
This page shows FC Lugano's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read FC Lugano's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for FC Lugano's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for FC Lugano?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for FC Lugano, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
FC Lugano: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, FC Lugano mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Lugano is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.60 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.51.
The next detected match is FC Lugano vs Servette FC on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 43%.