Foresportia Elo
1528Super League rank : 8th
FC Lucerne
Foresportia analyses FC Lucerne using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.54Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.36Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.40Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
51.7%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: FC Lucerne
FC Lucerne are scoring freely, but their defense is vulnerable: 12 goals scored and 13 conceded across the last five recorded matches in Super League. The team have taken 7 points from a possible 15 over these matches. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Super League · 2026-2027 · 10 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 3 | |
| 0 | 4 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates FC Lucerne
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
FC ZürichElo : 1449
FC LucerneElo : 1517
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
FC Zürich 39%Draw 27%FC Lucerne 34%
3. Prediction reliability for FC Lucerne
Data updated on 21 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 36.4% | 11 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 33.3% | 15 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 38.9% | 18 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 40.0% | 20 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 36.0% | 25 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 37.0% | 27 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 37.9% | 29 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 42.4% | 33 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | 44.1% | 34 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 44.7% | 38 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 48.8% | 41 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 42 |
| 2025-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for FC Lucerne
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.29 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.42 pts/matchComparable return
5. Statistical markers for FC Lucerne
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 48 verified matches
6. Market signals for FC Lucerne
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Over 2.559.0%84.2%19Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1275.1%75.0%28Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X67.0%69.2%26Confirmed signal
Home draw no bet63.4%62.5%16Recurring signal
Both teams to score60.6%61.1%18Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
FC Lucerne
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
FC Lucerne
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
FC Lucerne
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
FC Lucerne
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, FC Lucerne mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Lucerne shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.40 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is FC Zürich vs FC Lucerne on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 39%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. FC Lucerne FAQ
What is the next match for FC Lucerne on Foresportia?
This page shows FC Lucerne's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read FC Lucerne's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for FC Lucerne's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for FC Lucerne?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for FC Lucerne, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
FC Lucerne: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, FC Lucerne mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Lucerne shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.40 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is FC Zürich vs FC Lucerne on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 39%.