Foresportia Elo
1534Super League rank : 5th
FC Lucerne
Foresportia analyses FC Lucerne using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.54Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.98Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
50.1%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates FC Lucerne
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
FC LucerneElo : 1540
FC Bâle 1893Elo : 1527
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
FC Lucerne 32%Draw 28%FC Bâle 1893 40%
3. Prediction reliability for FC Lucerne
Data updated on 06 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 36.4% | 11 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 33.3% | 15 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 38.9% | 18 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 40.0% | 20 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 36.0% | 25 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 37.0% | 27 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 37.9% | 29 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 42.4% | 33 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | 44.1% | 34 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 44.7% | 38 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 46.2% | 39 |
| 2025-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for FC Lucerne
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.27 pts/matchLower observed return
Away performance1.48 pts/matchHigher observed return
5. Statistical markers for FC Lucerne
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 45 verified matches
6. Market signals for FC Lucerne
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Over 2.558.5%81.2%16Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1275.5%72.0%25Robust signal
Double chance 1X66.6%69.6%23Confirmed signal
Double chance X262.4%61.9%21Recurring signal
Both teams to score60.3%60.0%15Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
FC Lucerne
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
FC Lucerne
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
FC Lucerne
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
FC Lucerne
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, FC Lucerne mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Lucerne shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 1.80 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is FC Lucerne vs FC Bâle 1893 on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 40%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. FC Lucerne FAQ
What is the next match for FC Lucerne on Foresportia?
This page shows FC Lucerne's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read FC Lucerne's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for FC Lucerne's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for FC Lucerne?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for FC Lucerne, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
FC Lucerne: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, FC Lucerne mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FC Lucerne shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 1.80 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is FC Lucerne vs FC Bâle 1893 on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 40%.