Foresportia Elo
1660Peruvian Liga 1 rank : —
FBC Melgar
Foresportia analyses FBC Melgar using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.48Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
46.4%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar are scoring freely, but their defense is vulnerable: 9 goals scored and 8 conceded across the last five recorded matches in Peruvian Liga 1. The team have taken 8 points from a possible 15 over these matches.
Peruvian Liga 1 · 2026 · 15 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates FBC Melgar
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
FBC MelgarElo : 1632
Juan Pablo II CollegeElo : 1522
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
FBC Melgar 63%Draw 21%Juan Pablo II College 15%
3. Prediction reliability for FBC Melgar
Data updated on 04 November 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-11 | Risk | 50.0% | 10 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for FBC Melgar
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.71 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.75 pts/matchComparable return
5. Statistical markers for FBC Melgar
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 15 verified matches
6. Market signals for FBC Melgar
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X70.4%76.9%13Robust signal
Double chance 1272.1%64.3%14Recurring signal
Double chance X267.5%60.0%10Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
FBC Melgar
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
FBC Melgar
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
FBC Melgar
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
FBC Melgar
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, FBC Melgar mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FBC Melgar shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 1.80 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is FBC Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 63%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. FBC Melgar FAQ
What is the next match for FBC Melgar on Foresportia?
This page shows FBC Melgar's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read FBC Melgar's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for FBC Melgar's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for FBC Melgar?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for FBC Melgar, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
FBC Melgar: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, FBC Melgar mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
FBC Melgar shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 1.80 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is FBC Melgar vs Juan Pablo II College on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 63%.