Foresportia Elo
1449Premiership rank : 9th
Falkirk
Foresportia analyses Falkirk using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.45Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
49.9%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Falkirk
Falkirk have taken 8 points from a possible 15 across the last five recorded matches in Premiership. The team have scored 7 goals and conceded 6. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Premiership · 2026-2027 · 9 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Falkirk
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
FalkirkElo : 1469
KilmarnockElo : 1449
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Falkirk 39%Draw 30%Kilmarnock 31%
3. Prediction reliability for Falkirk
Data updated on 21 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 27.3% | 11 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
4. Predictive profile for Falkirk
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance0.75 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance0.86 pts/matchComparable return
5. Statistical markers for Falkirk
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 15 verified matches
6. Market signals for Falkirk
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance X269.2%83.3%12Success above the average probability
Double chance 1273.4%80.0%15Major, well-documented signal
Over 2.556.4%76.9%13Success above the average probability
Both teams to score55.6%73.3%15Success above the average probability
Double chance 1X73.6%63.6%11Success below the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Falkirk
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Falkirk
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Falkirk
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Falkirk
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Falkirk still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Falkirk still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Falkirk vs Kilmarnock on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 39%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Falkirk FAQ
What is the next match for Falkirk on Foresportia?
This page shows Falkirk's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Falkirk's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Falkirk's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Falkirk?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Falkirk, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Falkirk: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Falkirk still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Falkirk still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Falkirk vs Kilmarnock on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 39%.