Foresportia Elo
1524J1 League rank : 13th
Fagiano Okayama
Foresportia analyses Fagiano Okayama using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.55Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.36Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.40Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
45.3%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates Fagiano Okayama
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
JEF United ChibaElo : 1374
Fagiano OkayamaElo : 1511
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
JEF United Chiba 21%Draw 29%Fagiano Okayama 50%
3. Prediction reliability for Fagiano Okayama
Data updated on 31 August 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 38.5% | 13 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 38.9% | 18 |
| 2025-06 | Risk | 31.8% | 22 |
| 2025-07 | Risk | 37.5% | 24 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 42.9% | 28 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 41.9% | 31 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 41.2% | 34 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 40.0% | 35 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 41.7% | 36 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 42.1% | 38 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 42.5% | 40 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 44.4% | 45 |
| 2026-06 | Risk | 43.5% | 46 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 46.0% | 50 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for Fagiano Okayama
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.39 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.11 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Fagiano Okayama
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 56 verified matches
6. Market signals for Fagiano Okayama
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1270.1%78.9%19Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X70.2%64.7%17Recurring signal
Both teams to score52.9%56.2%16Recurring signal
Away draw no bet60.8%57.1%7Promising signal, limited sample
Over 2.552.2%60.0%5Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Fagiano Okayama
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Fagiano Okayama
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Fagiano Okayama
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Fagiano Okayama
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Fagiano Okayama mainly relies on a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Fagiano Okayama currently relies on a more reliable defensive base, conceding only 0.80 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 50%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Fagiano Okayama FAQ
What is the next match for Fagiano Okayama on Foresportia?
This page shows Fagiano Okayama's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Fagiano Okayama's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Fagiano Okayama's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Fagiano Okayama?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Fagiano Okayama, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Fagiano Okayama: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Fagiano Okayama mainly relies on a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Fagiano Okayama currently relies on a more reliable defensive base, conceding only 0.80 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 50%.